Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.349387 0.405133 0.463778 0.529784 0.601723 0.677480 0.763014
2025-01-05 0.266472 0.342106 0.426738 0.527303 0.642413 0.768995 0.917650
2025-01-12 0.207909 0.294979 0.398283 0.527157 0.680971 0.856207 1.068474
2025-01-19 0.169393 0.264519 0.383691 0.538875 0.730753 0.955746 1.235035
2025-01-26 0.141760 0.242739 0.375816 0.555841 0.785269 1.060810 1.409697
2025-02-02 0.119684 0.224427 0.369313 0.572276 0.837958 1.163704 1.583134
2025-02-09 0.095917 0.199352 0.350230 0.569477 0.864404 1.233498 1.716572
2025-02-16 0.080269 0.183687 0.341968 0.579402 0.906203 1.322155 1.873802
2025-02-23 0.064454 0.164589 0.326163 0.576814 0.930024 1.387288 2.001724
2025-03-02 0.047697 0.139968 0.298745 0.554844 0.925422 1.414231 2.080448
2025-03-09 0.039231 0.128980 0.291392 0.561113 0.958999 1.490881 2.223082
2025-03-16 0.029814 0.113435 0.274430 0.551156 0.968516 1.534897 2.323319
2025-03-23 0.026063 0.109888 0.278161 0.573922 1.026293 1.645984 2.514564
2025-03-30 0.020278 0.099567 0.268462 0.574523 1.051536 1.713151 2.648880
2025-04-06 0.015674 0.090567 0.259979 0.576222 1.077969 1.782011 2.786061
2025-04-13 0.012872 0.085701 0.258831 0.589731 1.122070 1.875731 2.957377
2025-04-20 0.010882 0.082624 0.260824 0.608368 1.174060 1.980916 3.144995
2025-04-27 0.009125 0.079564 0.262428 0.626182 1.224954 2.085062 3.332151
2025-05-04 0.006569 0.071744 0.252745 0.623424 1.243603 2.143530 3.457588
2025-05-11 0.005125 0.067663 0.250768 0.634084 1.283170 2.232054 3.624712
2025-05-18 0.003502 0.061017 0.241863 0.631407 1.301243 2.289656 3.749666
2025-05-25 0.001816 0.050904 0.222698 0.608113 1.285142 2.297043 3.804817
2025-06-01 0.001216 0.047352 0.219502 0.614796 1.317493 2.375189 3.958710